Essay d'analyse sur les jeux de hazard
Essay d'analyse sur les jeux de hazard (Essay on the Analysis of Games of Chance) is a book on combinatorics and mathematical probability written by Pierre Remond de Montmort published in 1708 with an expanded second edition in 1713. It was the first comprehensive text published on probability theory.
With Essay, Montmort intended to incorporate and build upon Jacob Bernoulli's unfinished Ars Conjectandi, which remained unpublished at the time of Jacob's death. Both works applied theories of combinatorics and probability to analyze games of chance popular at the time. Essay additionally solved problems posed by Christiaan Huygens' treatise De ratiociniis in ludo aleae (On Reasoning in Games of Chance, 1657) and proposed the solutions for new and more complex problems. Essay greatly influenced the thinking of Montmort's more famous contemporaries, Nicolaus I Bernoulli and Abraham De Moivre.