Helmut Norpoth
Helmut Norpoth | |
|---|---|
| Born | 1943 (age 81–82) |
| Alma mater | University of Michigan |
| Known for | Predicting election results |
| Scientific career | |
| Fields | Political science |
| Institutions | Stony Brook University |
| Thesis | Sources of party cohesion in the U.S. House of Representatives (1974) |
Helmut Norpoth (born 1943) is an American political scientist and professor of political science at Stony Brook University. Norpoth is best known for developing the Primary Model to predict United States presidential elections. Norpoth's model has successfully matched the results of 25 out of 29 United States presidential elections since 1912, with the exceptions being those in 1960, 2000, 2020, and 2024.