Philip E. Tetlock
Philip E. Tetlock | |
|---|---|
Tetlock at the 2017 World Economic Forum | |
| Born | March 2, 1954 |
| Alma mater | University of British Columbia (BA, MA) Yale University (PhD) |
| Scientific career | |
| Fields | political forecasting, political psychology, forecasting, decision making |
| Institutions | University of Pennsylvania University of California, Berkeley Ohio State University |
| Thesis | Attributions As Interpersonal Acts (1979) |
| Doctoral advisor | Phoebe C. Ellsworth |
| Other academic advisors | Peter Suedfeld |
| Doctoral students | Jennifer Lerner Linda Skitka |
Philip Eyrikson Tetlock (born March 2, 1954) is a Canadian-American political psychologist and writer, and is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is cross-appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences. He was elected a Member of the American Philosophical Society in 2019.
He has written several non-fiction books at the intersection of psychology, political science and organizational behavior, including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction; Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?; Unmaking the West: What-if Scenarios that Rewrite World History; and Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics. Tetlock is also co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project, a multi-year study of the feasibility of improving the accuracy of probability judgments of high-stakes, real-world events.