Views on military action against Iran

Military action against Iran is often deemed a controversial topic. Proponents of a strike against Iran point to the threat presented by Iran's nuclear program as a casus belli. Many Israelis, and particularly hardline politicians such as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, American neoconservatives, Iranian dissidents (monarchists, Mojahedin-e-Khalq, separatists) support military action to stop Iran's nuclear program or overthrow the regime in Iran.

Kelsey Davenport, the Director of Nonproliferation Policy at the Washington-based Arms Control Association is the biggest American restraint against Netanyahu and/or NATO's rulers launching and in May 2023, she warned that "a nightmare scenario" is occurring. President Biden asked the Ayatollah to repatriate 3 hostages to the U.S. and offered to unfreeze $17 billion in exchange for a verbal promise not to enrich uranium to 90%. So far, as usual, the Ayatollah has declined to agree.

In 2021, Iran enriched kilograms of U235 to 20% purity and then to 60% purity. As of 13 May 2023, Iran had 114.1 kg of 60% HEU and 470.9 kg of 20% HEU and was enriching 20% at a rate of 0.406 kg/day. The Institute for Science wrote that "With a monthly average production rate of 9 kg (U mass) per month, Iran could amass enough 60 percent HEU for three nuclear weapons by mid-June." Some people expect that the enrichment of uranium will continue to 90%, weapons grade uranium. Iran has warheads with conventional detonators in abundance. The scheduled completion date for Iranian warheads that have functioning nuclear detonators is vague and not publicly known with certainty.

The Ayatollah may order to enrich to 90% a Significant Quantity (SQ) or more of uranium hexafluoride gas and then to convert the hex(afluoride) to uranium metal at either the Fuel Plate Fabrication Plant (FPFP) or the Uranium Conversion Facility (UCF) in the city of Isfahan/Esfahan. The Prime Minister of Israel has repeatedly warned that he will be forced to destroy Iran's underground nuclear facilities. Israel's high yield nuclear missiles haven't been tested as to their kilotons of yield. The main issue is the danger of an eventual, post-peace announcement counterstrike and then a few months afterwards, the POTUS' outlook toward economic suffering in the cities in Iran and Damascus, vis-à-vis the President of Russia's outlook toward Tbilisi.